Friday, February 4, 2011

Super Bowl XLV: The Intangibles

There are many differences of opinion concerning Super Bowl XLV, but one thing almost everyone can agree on is that it is one of the hardest Super Bowls to call. The two teams are so evenly matched that it could be the littlest things that make a difference. Here, then, are the intangibles, those often overlooked elements that could provide a crucial edge.

Pittsburgh like playing scrappy, outdoor games. Green Bay have an explosive offence, as evidenced by 35 straight points at Arizona. A high-scoring game naturally favours the Packers, while in a low-scoring contest the Steelers are thought to be the likely winners. Cowboys Stadium, which is domed with fast turf, might just help the Packers.

But Pittsburgh don't like losing Super Bowls. They've only done so once. Several of the current roster have been here before, for the wins in 2005 and 2008. Experience, especially if positive, can only help and people looking to place a Super Bowl bet should remember this.

Some people get nervous beforehand; some feel it when the whistle blows. If Green Bay start slowly they could be in trouble. They have not been more than seven points behind all season, but there's a first time for everything.

The Packers do however have home advantage and have chosen to wear their home green jerseys, despite white road jerseys bringing success in their playoff games. Home advantage won't show in the crowd though, which will be equally split between Cheeseheads and Terrible Towels: the orange and black of the Steelers against the Packers' green and gold and the Super Bowl betting hints at a pretty even game.

It will be close. The Packers are two-and-a-half point favourites and that seems generous. Historically, the Steelers win close games and the Packers lose close games. To prevail in a tight game on Sunday, Green Bay will have to upset the form book.

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